Saints vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 7
Published 7:38 pm Wednesday, October 16, 2024
At Caesars Superdome on Thursday, Oct. 17, the Denver Broncos face the New Orleans Saints, beginning at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Saints should be victorious, based on our computer model — continue reading to find more tips regarding the point spread, over/under and even the final score.
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The Broncos rank 25th in points scored this year (18.7 points per game), but they’ve been shining on defense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 16 points allowed per game. The Saints rank 18th in total yards per game (319.8), but they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking worst in the NFL with 395.8 total yards surrendered per contest.
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Saints vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+2.5) | Over (37) | Saints 23, Broncos 22 |
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Saints Betting Info
- The Saints have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New Orleans has put together a 3-3-0 ATS record so far this season.
- The Saints have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year (in four opportunities).
- In 2024, four New Orleans games have hit the over.
- This season, Saints games have resulted in an average scoring total of 44.2, which is 7.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Broncos Betting Info
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Broncos’ implied win probability is 59.2%.
- Denver has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover twice.
- The Broncos have won their only game this season when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
- Denver and its opponent have combined to go over the point total three out of six times this season.
- Broncos games average 38.5 total points per game this season (postseason included), 1.5 greater than the over/under for this matchup.
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Saints vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 18.7 | 16 | 18.7 | 18 | 18.7 | 14 |
| Saints | 27.8 | 24.5 | 28.7 | 25.3 | 27 | 23.7 |
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