On Monday, Oct. 7 at 8:15 p.m. ET, the Kansas City Chiefs will face the New Orleans Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Our computer model projects that the Chiefs will earn a victory — see below for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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On offense, the Chiefs rank 15th in the NFL with 328.3 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 13th in total defense (326.8 yards allowed per contest). The Saints’ offense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 31.8 points per game. In terms of defense, they are ceding 17.5 points per game, which ranks seventh.

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 33.3% chance of a victory for the Saints.
• New Orleans is 3-1-0 ATS this year.
• The Saints have won their only game this year when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
• New Orleans games have hit the over three out of four times this year.
• The average total points scored in Saints games this year (43) is 1.9 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Chiefs Betting Info

• The Chiefs have an implied moneyline win probability of 71.4% in this matchup.
• Kansas City has covered twice in four games with a spread this season.
• The Chiefs have not covered the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• So far this season, two Kansas City games have hit the over.
• Chiefs games have had an average of 45.4 points this season, 2.4 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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