Saturday’s contest at UTRGV Fieldhouse has the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (14-15, 6-12 Southland) matching up with the New Orleans Privateers (4-25, 2-16 Southland) at 5:30 p.m. ET on March 1. Our computer prediction projects a 80-70 victory for UT Rio Grande Valley, who are favored by our model.

According to our computer prediction, New Orleans is projected to cover the spread (10.5) against UT Rio Grande Valley. The two sides are projected to come in below the 154.5 total.

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UT Rio Grande Valley vs. New Orleans Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 5:30 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Edinburg, Texas
• Venue: UTRGV Fieldhouse
• Line: UT Rio Grande Valley -10.5
• Point total: 154.5
• Moneyline (to win): UT Rio Grande Valley -549, New Orleans +390

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UT Rio Grande Valley vs. New Orleans Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  UT Rio Grande Valley 80, New Orleans 70

Spread & Total Prediction for UT Rio Grande Valley vs. New Orleans

• Pick ATS: New Orleans (+10.5)
• Pick OU: Under (154.5)

UT Rio Grande Valley has put together a 12-13-0 record against the spread this season, while New Orleans is 12-16-0. The Vaqueros are 14-11-0 and the Privateers are 14-14-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams average 144.1 points per game combined, 10.4 fewer than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, UT Rio Grande Valley is 3-7 against the spread and 2-8 overall while New Orleans has gone 4-6 against the spread and 0-10 overall.

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UT Rio Grande Valley Performance Insights

• The Vaqueros have a +73 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.5 points per game. They’re putting up 76.3 points per game to rank 114th in college basketball and are giving up 73.8 per contest to rank 239th in college basketball.
• UT Rio Grande Valley pulls down 32.9 rebounds per game (131st in college basketball) compared to the 33.3 of its opponents.
• UT Rio Grande Valley hits 10.4 three-pointers per game (18th in college basketball) at a 32.3% rate (275th in college basketball), compared to the 7.2 per game its opponents make at a 32.7% rate.
• The Vaqueros rank 246th in college basketball by averaging 93.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 113th in college basketball, allowing 90.5 points per 100 possessions.
• UT Rio Grande Valley and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Vaqueros commit 12.8 per game (314th in college basketball) and force 12.6 (78th in college basketball play).

New Orleans Performance Insights

• The Privateers have a -408 scoring differential, falling short by 14.0 points per game. They’re putting up 67.8 points per game, 323rd in college basketball, and are allowing 81.8 per outing to rank 358th in college basketball.
• New Orleans loses the rebound battle by 4.7 boards on average. It collects 31.4 rebounds per game, 215th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 36.1.
• New Orleans knocks down 5.6 three-pointers per game (347th in college basketball) at a 30.7% rate (329th in college basketball), compared to the 9.7 per contest its opponents make, shooting 36.2% from deep.
• New Orleans has committed 1.6 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 12.6 (301st in college basketball) while forcing 11.0 (219th in college basketball).

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