Heat vs. Pelicans Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 1

Published 8:16 pm Tuesday, December 31, 2024

The New Orleans Pelicans (5-28) are underdogs (by 9.5 points) to stop a 14-game road losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (16-14) on Wednesday, January 1, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET.

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Heat vs. Pelicans Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, January 1, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: Gulf Coast Sports and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Pelicans Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 118 – Pelicans 104

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Pelicans

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 9.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-14.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (221.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 222.2
  • The Pelicans (12-21-0 ATS) have covered the spread 50% of the time, 13.6% less often than the Heat (15-15-0) this year.
  • As a 9.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, New Orleans is 3-6 against the spread compared to the 2-1 ATS record Miami racks up as a 9.5-point favorite.
  • When it comes to exceeding the point total in 2024-25, New Orleans and its opponents are more successful (54.5% of the time) than Miami and its opponents (53.3%).
  • The Heat have a .611 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (11-7) this season, better than the .115 winning percentage for the Pelicans as a moneyline underdog (3-23).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • This year, the Heat are averaging 111 points per game (20th-ranked in NBA) and allowing 108.7 points per contest (sixth-ranked).
  • With 43.5 boards per game, Miami ranks 19th in the NBA. It allows 45.5 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • So far this year, the Heat rank 17th in the league in assists, dishing out 25.4 per game.
  • Miami is forcing 14.2 turnovers per game this year (12th-ranked in NBA), but it has committed only 12.4 turnovers per game (fourth-best).
  • The Heat are sinking 14.4 treys per game (10th-ranked in league). They sport a 37.3% shooting percentage (seventh-ranked) from three-point land.

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Pelicans Performance Insights

  • The Pelicans are the third-worst team in the NBA in points scored (106.7 per game) and 25th in points allowed (117.9).
  • In 2024-25, New Orleans is 24th in the league in rebounds (42.9 per game) and fifth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.7).
  • The Pelicans are 23rd in the NBA in assists (24.5 per game) in 2024-25.
  • New Orleans is 18th in the league in turnovers per game (14.5) and 12th in turnovers forced (14.2).
  • Beyond the arc, the Pelicans are second-worst in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (11.3). And they are fifth-worst in 3-point percentage at 33.5%.

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