Severe Weather and Heavy Rainfall Update – January 31, 2023

Published 9:06 am Tuesday, January 31, 2023

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Changes from previous update:

  • There is now a marginal risk of severe weather in addition to the slight risk of excessive rainfall.

Overview:

WHAT:  MARGINAL RISK of Severe Weather and SLIGHT RISK of Heavy Rainfall.

WHEN: Mainly the afternoon into the late evening hours

WHERE: All of the area is in a highlighted risk area, but areas north of I-10/12 have the greater risk of heavy rainfall while areas south of I-10/12 have the better chance at seeing severe weather.

CONFIDENCE:

Low confidence with timing and strength of system at the moment as this is several days away.

Impacts:

The main threats associated with any severe storms will be:

Damaging Winds:

  • Wind gusts greater than 60 mph will be possible

Tornadoes:

  • Isolated tornadoes can’t be ruled out

Rainfall

  • In addition to the severe weather threat, high rainfall rates could lead to ponding of water in low lying areas and areas of poor drainage.
  • Additional rises on some river areas will be possible