Saints vs. Falcons Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 3:36 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
At Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29, the Atlanta Falcons face the New Orleans Saints, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Saints should win, based on our computer model — continue reading to discover more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.
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Offensively, the Falcons rank 20th in the NFL with 307.3 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 18th in total defense (326.7 yards allowed per contest). In terms of total offense, the Saints rank ninth in the NFL (343.3 total yards per game) and 21st defensively (335.3 total yards allowed per contest).
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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Saints Betting Info
- The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 43.5%.
- New Orleans has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
- The Saints have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
- So far this year, two New Orleans games have hit the over.
- The average total for Saints games (postseason included) is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.
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Falcons Betting Info
- The Falcons have a 60.8% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- Atlanta games have not hit the over yet this season.
- The average total for Falcons games this season (postseason included) has been 45.2, 4.2 points higher than the total for this game.
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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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