SFA vs. Nicholls State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – March 1

Published 6:28 pm Friday, February 28, 2025

Saturday’s game at William R. Johnson Coliseum has the Nicholls State Colonels (18-11, 12-6 Southland) matching up with the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (14-15, 7-11 Southland) at 6 p.m. (on March 1). Our computer prediction projects a victory for Nicholls State by a score of 71-67, who is slightly favored by our model.

According to our computer prediction, Nicholls State projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus SFA. The over/under has been set at 137.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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SFA vs. Nicholls State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Huntsville, Texas
  • Venue: William R. Johnson Coliseum
  • Line: SFA -1.5
  • Point total: 137.5
  • Moneyline (to win): SFA -115, Nicholls State -104

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SFA vs. Nicholls State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Nicholls State 71, SFA 67

Spread & Total Prediction for SFA vs. Nicholls State

  • Pick ATS: Nicholls State (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (137.5)

SFA has compiled a 9-16-0 record against the spread this season, while Nicholls State is 17-9-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the ‘Jacks are 10-15-0 and the Colonels are 12-14-0. The teams average 141.3 points per game, 3.8 more points than this matchup’s total. SFA has a 2-8 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over the past 10 games. Nicholls State has gone 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 games.

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SFA Performance Insights

  • The ‘Jacks have a +2 scoring differential, putting up 66.6 points per game (343rd in college basketball) and allowing 66.5 (39th in college basketball).
  • The 33.8 rebounds per game SFA averages rank 78th in the nation, and are 2.6 more than the 31.2 its opponents grab per contest.
  • SFA makes 5.8 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.7. It shoots 28.6% from deep while its opponents hit 31.7% from long range.
  • The ‘Jacks rank 358th in college basketball by averaging 84.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 14th in college basketball, allowing 84.0 points per 100 possessions.
  • SFA has committed 14.8 turnovers per game (358th in college basketball action) while forcing 14.0 (25th in college basketball).

Nicholls State Performance Insights

  • The Colonels have a +134 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.6 points per game. They’re putting up 74.7 points per game, 152nd in college basketball, and are giving up 70.1 per outing to rank 125th in college basketball.
  • Nicholls State records 33.2 rebounds per game (104th in college basketball), compared to the 32.6 of its opponents.
  • Nicholls State knocks down 7.6 three-pointers per game (186th in college basketball) while shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc (163rd in college basketball). It is making 1.2 more threes than its opponents, who drain 6.4 per game at 29.7%.
  • Nicholls State has committed 9.9 turnovers per game (50th in college basketball), 2.0 fewer than the 11.9 it forces (135th in college basketball).

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