Nicholls State vs. SFA Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – March 1

Published 6:28 pm Friday, February 28, 2025

Saturday’s contest at William R. Johnson Coliseum has the Nicholls State Colonels (18-11, 12-6 Southland) matching up with the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (14-15, 7-11 Southland) at 6 p.m. (on March 1). Our computer prediction projects a 71-67 victory for Nicholls State, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Nicholls State is a good bet to cover the spread, which currently sits at 1.5. The two sides are projected to go under the 140.5 over/under.

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Nicholls State vs. SFA Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Huntsville, Texas
  • Venue: William R. Johnson Coliseum
  • Line: Nicholls State -1.5
  • Point total: 140.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Nicholls State -122, SFA +102

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Nicholls State vs. SFA Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Nicholls State 71, SFA 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Nicholls State vs. SFA

  • Pick ATS: Nicholls State (-1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (140.5)

Nicholls State is 17-9-0 against the spread, while SFA’s ATS record this season is 9-16-0. A total of 12 out of the Colonels’ games this season have gone over the point total, and 10 of the ‘Jacks’ games have gone over. The two teams score 141.3 points per game, 0.8 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Nicholls State has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. SFA has gone 2-8 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Nicholls State Performance Insights

  • The Colonels average 74.7 points per game (151st in college basketball) while giving up 70.1 per outing (124th in college basketball). They have a +134 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 4.6 points per game.
  • Nicholls State is 105th in college basketball at 33.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 32.6 its opponents average.
  • Nicholls State knocks down 7.6 three-pointers per game (187th in college basketball) while shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc (166th in college basketball). It is making 1.2 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 6.4 per game while shooting 29.7%.
  • The Colonels average 94.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (209th in college basketball), and allow 88.6 points per 100 possessions (69th in college basketball).
  • Nicholls State has come up on top in the turnover battle by two turnovers per game, committing 9.9 (52nd in college basketball play) while forcing 11.9 (134th in college basketball).

SFA Performance Insights

  • The ‘Jacks put up 66.6 points per game (343rd in college basketball) while allowing 66.5 per contest (39th in college basketball). They have a +2 scoring differential.
  • SFA wins the rebound battle by 2.6 boards on average. It collects 33.8 rebounds per game, 78th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.2.
  • SFA knocks down 5.8 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.7 on average.
  • SFA and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The ‘Jacks commit 14.8 per game (357th in college basketball) and force 14 (25th in college basketball).

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