NBA Best Bets: Mavericks vs. Pelicans Picks for February 21

Published 4:33 pm Friday, February 21, 2025

The New Orleans Pelicans (13-42) are underdogs (by 5.5 points) to end a seven-game road losing streak when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (30-26) on Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET.

Why don’t you take a look at the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) for Friday’s game, before you place a wager on this matchup?

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Game Info

  • When: Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: KFAA and Gulf Coast Sports
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Best Bets

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Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 PTS

  • Friday’s points prop bet for Kyrie Irving is 27.5 points. That’s 2.9 more than his season average of 24.6.
  • Irving has gone up against a points prop bet in 44 games this season, and he’s hit the over 23 times.
  • The Mavericks are the NBA’s 11th-ranked scoring squad (115.7 points per game), while the Pelicans are 27th in points conceded (119.4 per game).
  • Dallas has a 17-5 record when finishing with more points than 119.4.

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Trey Murphy III Over 22.5 PTS

  • Trey Murphy III is averaging 22.4 points during the 2024-25 season, 0.1 less than Friday’s over/under.
  • Murphy has gone over 23 times on a points prop this season (in 38 opportunities).
  • New Orleans is the NBA’s 22nd-ranked team offensively (110.6 points per game), while Dallas is 17th-ranked on defense (113.5 conceded).
  • When scoring more points than 113.5, New Orleans is 10-10.

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Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 5.5)

  • Dallas’ record against the spread is 30-26-0.
  • New Orleans’ record against the spread is 23-32-0.
  • Against the spread as 5.5-point favorites or more, the Mavericks are 10-6.
  • As 5.5-point underdogs or greater, the Pelicans are 12-19 against the spread.

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Pick OU:

Under (237.5)

  • The Mavericks’ 56 games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 237.5 points 19 times.
  • The Pelicans have played 19 games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 237.5 points.
  • Dallas has an average point total of 228 in its contests this year, 9.5 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
  • New Orleans has had an average of 226.8 points scored in its games so far this season, 10.7 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
  • The Pelicans are the NBA’s 21st-highest scoring team this season compared to the eighth-ranked Mavericks.
  • The Pelicans have allowed the 27th-fewest points in the league this season, while the Mavericks have given up the 20th-fewest.

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Moneyline Pick: Mavericks (-220)

  • The Mavericks have been favorites in 27 games this season and won 18 (66.7%) of those contests.
  • The Pelicans have come away with six wins in the 40 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Dallas has won 12 of its 15 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -220 on the moneyline.
  • This year, New Orleans has won two of 31 games when listed as at least +180 or better on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mavericks, based on the moneyline, is 68.8%.

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